XRP’s near-term price setup is being tested by a mix of fresh institutional-flow data and network developments. U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded about $22.65 million of net inflows on September 25, taking cumulative inflows to roughly $1.79 billion, according to Bitzo. That demand has arrived despite recent price weakness.

At the same time, XRPLF’s September 17 release of xrpld version 3.4.0 brought LendingProtocolV1_1 to the ledger, while Evernorth and Armada Acquisition Corp. II are due to put their proposed transaction to a shareholder vote on September 30. If approved and completed, the combined company is expected to list on Nasdaq as XRPN and run an XRP-focused treasury, according to the SEC filing.

Those catalysts frame the XRP price prediction question, but they do not amount to a technical breakout. XRP was near $1.48 on September 28, leaving it below the closest hourly resistance and inside a narrow range where the next direction still depends on whether buyers can recover nearby levels.

XRP indicators show balanced momentum near $1.48

The hourly and daily snapshot as of September 29 points to balance rather than a confirmed directional trend. On the one-hour chart, XRP’s 14-period RSI stood at 54.88, a neutral reading that indicates neither notably stretched buying nor selling pressure. The daily RSI was similarly neutral at 56.71, according to CoinLore’s technical data.

Momentum is therefore constructive enough to leave room for an upside attempt, but it has not supplied an emphatic signal. The one-hour MACD was listed at -0.003491, against a -0.005051 signal line, and was classified as neutral with no clear buy or sell indication. Traders looking for proof that the news backdrop is translating into price follow-through would need to see the market resolve this neutral condition rather than simply remain range-bound.

Short-term trend references reinforce that caution. The 20-hour EMA was $1.49, just above the reported $1.48 spot price. That puts XRP close to its short-term trend reference, rather than clearly above it. A recovery and hold around that area would improve the immediate structure; continuing to trade below it would leave the market without a clear short-term advantage.

The hourly Bollinger Bands also describe compression around current prices rather than an extreme move. Their upper band was $1.52 and lower band $1.47, with price inside both boundaries. The upper band sits close to the first explicit resistance at $1.53, so an advance through the $1.52-$1.53 area would be the first technical sign that XRP is moving beyond its recent contained range. Conversely, a move back through the lower band would draw attention to the established support levels below.

None of these readings independently determines the next move. Taken together, however, they show that the ETF-flow and XRPL headlines are meeting a market with neutral momentum, not one already in a fully developed breakout. That distinction matters for $1.55: it remains a level to be reclaimed rather than a destination validated by current indicators.

XRP support at $1.49 and $1.45 versus the $1.53-$1.55 barrier

The actionable XRP range is compact. With spot reported at $1.48, the supplied $1.49 hourly support is unusually close and also aligns with the 20-hour EMA. The price being marginally below that level highlights the fragility of the current position: XRP needs to recover it to restore the nearest support reference, rather than treating it as firmly secured.

LevelTechnical roleWhat it would signal$1.49Strong hourly supportA recovery and hold would reinforce the immediate range structure.$1.45Strong hourly support and lower edge of the immediate consolidation zoneHolding it would preserve the nearby base; losing it would weaken the short-term setup.$1.41Next strong hourly supportThis is the next supplied downside marker below the immediate zone.$1.53Strong hourly resistance and upper short-term range boundaryBuyers would need to clear it before a $1.55 retest is in view.$1.55Strong hourly resistance and recent consolidation ceilingThis is the title’s scenario level and the key barrier for an upside extension.$1.60Next daily resistanceIt becomes relevant only after a sustained move beyond $1.55.

On an upward path, $1.53 is the immediate hurdle. It is the upper boundary of the short-term range and sits just above the $1.52 upper Bollinger Band. Clearing $1.53 would not itself establish $1.55 as support, but it would open a direct test of the stronger $1.55 ceiling. A decisive move through that second barrier would shift attention to $1.60, the next supplied daily resistance.

The downside path is equally defined. XRP has the $1.45-$1.50 area as its immediate support zone, as Crypto Daily reported on September 28. Since $1.49 is the nearest cited hourly support, an inability to regain it would keep pressure on $1.45. A loss of $1.45, the lower edge of the consolidation area, would leave $1.41 as the next strong hourly support in the supplied map.

This structure makes the $1.53-$1.55 area more than a round-number objective. It is a two-step resistance sequence. For the $1.55 scenario to gain credibility, XRP would first need to reclaim the short-term range boundary at $1.53 and then overcome the consolidation ceiling, while avoiding a deterioration through the $1.49 and $1.45 support structure.

Can ETF demand and XRPL catalysts put $1.55 back in focus?

Yes, $1.55 can return to focus, but the available evidence supports it as a conditional retest scenario rather than a confirmed call. The $22.65 million of September 25 net inflows into U.S. spot XRP ETFs provides a supportive demand data point, particularly alongside cumulative inflows of about $1.79 billion. It does not, by itself, demonstrate that buying will persist or force a break through resistance.

There are additional event-driven reasons for market attention. XRPLF said its xrpld 3.4.0 upgrade adds LendingProtocolV1_1 features including closed-ended vaults and cash-basis accounting, and that node operators need to upgrade for service continuity, as set out in the release notes. Separately, the September 30 Evernorth shareholder vote is a defined corporate milestone; the proposed Nasdaq listing and XRP-focused treasury remain contingent on approval and completion.

For price, the technical confirmation threshold is clearer than the headline narrative. XRP would need to regain $1.49, clear $1.53 and then challenge $1.55. Neutral hourly and daily RSI readings leave that route open, while the price’s location inside the hourly Bollinger Bands suggests the market has not yet made the move. A sustained break of the $1.55 resistance would put $1.60 into view, but $1.60 is a separate daily resistance rather than an implied forecast.

The case weakens if the market cannot reclaim $1.49 and instead loses $1.45. That outcome would move attention to $1.41 and indicate that the catalysts have not been sufficient to overcome the immediate technical range. XRP was reported near $1.48, with $1.55 identified as the nearest resistance and consolidation ceiling, in Crypto Daily’s September 28 market assessment.

In short, ETF inflows, the XRPL lending upgrade and the pending Evernorth vote give XRP a timely catalyst backdrop. The chart still demands evidence: $1.53 is the initial gate, and $1.55 is the decisive test. Until those levels are cleared while $1.49 and $1.45 hold, the XRP price outlook remains a balanced range scenario rather than a confirmed upside breakout.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Source: Crypto Daily